Stocks · Utilities · Regulated Electric

Xcel Energy Inc. XEL

$71.49 +0.13% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $44.60B

Next earnings report: Oct 29, 2026

Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.

Three things to know

  1. Net debt is 5.9× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
  2. The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
  3. The shares trade at 19.5× trailing earnings, lower than 81% of the company's own readings over the past five years.

PromtFinance scores

Each score is a percentile within the Utilities sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.

Growth7Very weak

How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.

  • Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 27%
  • EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 43%
  • Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 18%
  • Revenue growth accelerationBottom 23%
Quality25Very weak

Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.

  • Return on invested capitalBottom 33%
  • Gross marginTop 46%
  • Operating marginBottom 45%
  • Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 46%
  • Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 39%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 28%
  • Interest coverBottom 37%
Value25Very weak

How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.

  • Earnings yieldBottom 48%
  • Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 13%
  • EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 41%
  • Sales / enterprise valueBottom 25%
  • P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 45%
Momentum51Neutral

Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.

  • 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 40%
  • 6-month returnBottom 46%
  • 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 40%
  • Distance from 52-week highTop 30%
  • Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 33%
Revisions78Positive

Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).

  • Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 37%
  • Consecutive EPS beatsTop 35%
  • Share of analysts rating BuyTop 22%
  • Upside to consensus price targetTop 29%
Stability30Weak

Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.

  • Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 46%
  • Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 46%
  • Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 41%
  • Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 28%

What changed

Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).

MeasureBeforeNow
Revenue growth (YoY)7.9%4.7%↓
EPS growth (YoY)2.9%1.4%↓
Gross margin45.8%48.8%↑
Operating margin18.0%21.0%↑
FCF margin-28.0%-52.6%↓

Fundamental momentum

MeasureNow (TTM)Year / quarter beforeSector rank
Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)4.7%7.9%↓Bottom 27%
EPS growth (TTM, YoY)1.4%2.9%↓Bottom 43%
Gross margin48.8%45.8%↑Top 46%
Operating margin21.0%18.0%↑Bottom 45%
Net margin15.3%14.9%↑—
Free-cash-flow margin-52.6%-28.0%↓—
Return on invested capital3.7%—Bottom 33%
Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR-1.4%—Bottom 18%

Quality of earnings and balance sheet

Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
2.14×
Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
-2.9%
Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
0.3%
Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
-0.3 pp
Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
5.86×
Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
2.1×

Shareholder returns

Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
3.06%
Net buyback yield (TTM)
-4.97%
Shareholder yield
-1.91%
Share count change, 1 year
+7.7%
Share count change, 3-year CAGR
+4.3%

Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.

Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).

Earnings and expectations

Earnings momentum

Consecutive EPS beats
2
Beats in the last 8 reports
3 of 8
Average EPS surprise, last 4
+2.9%
Average 2-day reaction, last 8
+1.4%
Positive 20 days after report
5 of 8

Analysts

Consensus price target
$90.83
Target vs current price
+27.1%
Analysts with a rating
27
Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
63%
Consensus rating
Buy

How the stock reacted to recent reports

Report dateEPS surprise2 days5 days20 days60 days
Jul 30, 2026+17.7%-0.7%-2.0%-1.4%—
Apr 30, 2026+0.3%+5.2%+2.2%+0.6%+2.4%
Feb 5, 2026-0.2%-0.1%+2.3%+8.1%+8.4%
Oct 30, 2025-6.1%+2.4%+1.9%+2.0%-4.2%
Jul 31, 2025+16.3%+1.5%+1.3%+0.7%+11.1%
Apr 24, 2025-8.8%-1.8%-1.2%-2.3%+0.0%
Feb 6, 2025-7.4%-1.2%-0.8%-0.4%+4.2%
Oct 31, 2024-0.8%+6.0%+5.5%+15.7%+4.8%

Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.

Earnings history

Report dateEPSEstimateSurpriseRevenue
Jul 30, 2026$0.93$0.79+17.7%$3.12B
Apr 30, 2026$0.91$0.91+0.3%$4.02B
Feb 5, 2026$0.96$0.96-0.2%$3.56B
Oct 30, 2025$1.24$1.32-6.1%$3.92B
Jul 31, 2025$0.75$0.65+16.3%$3.29B
Apr 24, 2025$0.84$0.92-8.8%$3.91B
Feb 6, 2025$0.81$0.88-7.4%$3.12B
Oct 31, 2024$1.25$1.26-0.8%$3.64B

Valuation in context

MultipleNow5-year median5-year percentileSector rank (cheapness)
P/E (trailing)19.5×20.9×19thBottom 48%
P/E (forward)17.4×———
EV / EBITDA12.7×——Bottom 41%
EV / Sales5.67×——Bottom 25%
Free-cash-flow yield-17.25%——Bottom 13%
Earnings yield5.13%——Bottom 48%

P/E over the past five years

Range 16.5× – 25.0× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.

What moved the stock over the past year

Price return, 1 year
-10.2%
Earnings per share growth (TTM)
+1.4%
Change in P/E multiple
+5.1%

Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.

Technical state

Trend checklist

  • ✗ Price above 20-day average
  • ✗ Price above 50-day average
  • ✗ Price above 200-day average
  • ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
  • ✓ MACD histogram positive

Trend quality

Days above the 50-day average
0
Days above the 200-day average
0
50-day average slope (20 days)
-4.0%
200-day average slope (20 days)
-0.7%
Distance from 50-day average
-5.4%
Distance from 200-day average
-8.4%
RSI (14)
41.1
Relative volume
0.74×

Risk and drawdowns

Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
17.2%
Volatility vs own 5-year history
13th percentile · Low for this stock
Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
0.21
Correlation with S&P 500
0.16
Current drawdown from 1-year high
-14.8%
Maximum drawdown, 3 years
-24.0%

Largest declines in the past six years

From peakTo lowDeclineLengthRecovery
Sep 12, 2022Mar 6, 2024-37.4%372 days389 days (Sep 24, 2025)
Nov 16, 2020Mar 3, 2021-22.3%72 days277 days (Apr 6, 2022)
Feb 24, 2026Sep 28, 2026-17.3%149 daysNot yet recovered
May 27, 2022Jun 17, 2022-16.3%14 days39 days (Aug 15, 2022)
Nov 28, 2025Dec 19, 2025-11.5%15 days42 days (Feb 23, 2026)

Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.

Financial statements

Market cap
$44.60B
P/E (TTM)
19.5
EPS, diluted (TTM)
$3.67
Revenue (TTM)
$14.62B
Dividend yield
3.28%
52-week range
$68.72 – $84.23
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Revenue$13.43B$15.31B$14.21B$13.44B$14.67B
Gross profit$5.26B$5.86B$5.98B$6.15B$6.92B
Operating income$2.20B$2.43B$2.48B$2.39B$2.88B
Net income$1.60B$1.74B$1.77B$1.94B$2.02B
EPS (diluted)$2.96$3.17$3.21$3.44$3.42
Q3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025Q4 2025Q1 2026Q2 2026
Revenue$3.64B$3.12B$3.91B$3.29B$3.92B$3.56B$4.02B$3.12B
Net income$682.0M$464.0M$483.0M$444.0M$524.0M$567.0M$556.0M$586.0M
EPS (diluted)$1.21$0.81$0.84$0.76$0.90$0.95$0.89$0.93
FY 2021FY 2022FY 2023FY 2024FY 2025
Operating cash flow$2.19B$3.93B$5.33B$4.64B$4.08B
Capital expenditure-$4.24B-$4.64B-$5.85B-$7.36B-$10.91B
Free cash flow-$2.06B-$706.0M-$527.0M-$2.72B-$6.83B
Dividends paid-$935.0M-$1.01B-$1.09B-$1.18B-$1.28B
Net share buybacks$366.0M$322.0M$270.0M$1.12B$3.35B

Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.

Cash and short-term investments
$2.01B
Total assets
$87.17B
Total liabilities
$63.11B
Total debt
$40.32B
Net debt
$38.31B
Shareholders’ equity
$24.06B

As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).

Dividends

Ex-dateAmountPaid
Sep 15, 2026$0.59Oct 20, 2026
Jun 15, 2026$0.59Jul 20, 2026
Mar 13, 2026$0.59Apr 20, 2026
Dec 29, 2025$0.57Jan 20, 2026
Sep 15, 2025$0.57Oct 20, 2025
Jun 13, 2025$0.57Jul 20, 2025
Mar 14, 2025$0.57Apr 20, 2025
Jan 6, 2025$0.55Jan 20, 2025

Short interest

Shares sold short
41,392,983
Days to cover
6.96
Change vs previous report
+0.4%

FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.

Stock splits

Jun 2, 1998
2-for-1
Jun 16, 1986
2-for-1