Stocks · Industrials · Trucking
XPO Logistics, Inc. XPO
$182.86 -1.74% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $21.79B
Next earnings report: Oct 29, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Earnings beat analyst estimates in each of the last 14 quarters (average surprise over the last four: +12.5%).
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $3.39, up 17.7% year over year.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 47%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 39%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 7%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 37%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 30%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 30%
- Gross marginBottom 14%
- Operating marginTop 39%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 16%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 22%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 36%
- Interest coverTop 49%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 43%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 44%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 43%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 36%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 44%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 20%
- 6-month returnBottom 31%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 22%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 41%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 41%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 33%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 5%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 30%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 42%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 30%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 35%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 26%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 36%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 3.6% | 7.0% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -9.9% | 17.7% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 11.3% | 12.8% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 8.4% | 9.8% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 1.9% | 6.9% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 7.0% | 3.6% | ↑ | Bottom 47% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 17.7% | -9.9% | ↑ | Top 39% |
| Gross margin | 12.8% | 11.3% | ↑ | Bottom 14% |
| Operating margin | 9.8% | 8.4% | ↑ | Top 39% |
| Net margin | 4.7% | 4.3% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 6.9% | 1.9% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 9.1% | — | Top 30% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 1.9% | — | Bottom 37% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 2.69×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -8.2%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.9%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +4.9 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 2.86×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 4.0×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.99%
- Shareholder yield
- 0.99%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +0.0%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +0.3%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 14
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 8 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +12.5%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +4.1%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $229.86
- Target vs current price
- +25.7%
- Analysts with a rating
- 32
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 69%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | +14.9% | -0.1% | +0.4% | -3.5% | — |
| Apr 30, 2026 | +14.9% | +1.6% | -2.4% | -1.2% | -3.9% |
| Feb 5, 2026 | +15.2% | +3.4% | +12.4% | +14.9% | +19.9% |
| Oct 30, 2025 | +4.9% | +9.0% | +10.9% | +13.6% | +19.1% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | +6.1% | -9.1% | -7.0% | -0.1% | -5.2% |
| Apr 30, 2025 | +12.3% | +8.9% | +10.6% | +21.4% | +42.0% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | +30.9% | +7.8% | +6.2% | -18.5% | -19.5% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | +12.1% | +11.4% | +14.9% | +25.8% | +16.5% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $1.70 | $1.48 | +14.9% | $2.35B |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $1.01 | $0.88 | +14.9% | $2.10B |
| Feb 5, 2026 | $0.88 | $0.76 | +15.2% | $2.01B |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $1.07 | $1.02 | +4.9% | $2.11B |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $1.05 | $0.99 | +6.1% | $2.08B |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $0.73 | $0.65 | +12.3% | $1.95B |
| Feb 6, 2025 | $0.89 | $0.68 | +30.9% | $1.92B |
| Oct 30, 2024 | $1.02 | $0.91 | +12.1% | $2.05B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 53.9× | 41.8× | 67th | Bottom 43% |
| P/E (forward) | 33.2× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 19.8× | — | — | Bottom 43% |
| EV / Sales | 2.97× | — | — | Bottom 36% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 2.70% | — | — | Bottom 44% |
| Earnings yield | 1.85% | — | — | Bottom 43% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 4.2× – 258.3× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +44.2%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +17.7%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +40.7%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -5.9%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +2.1%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -4.1%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -5.1%
- RSI (14)
- 49.9
- Relative volume
- 1.21×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 33.5%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 6th percentile · Low for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.46
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.44
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -19.9%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -42.2%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2021 | Sep 26, 2022 | -53.2% | 280 days | 188 days (Jun 27, 2023) |
| Dec 16, 2024 | Apr 8, 2025 | -42.2% | 76 days | 205 days (Feb 2, 2026) |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Sep 25, 2026 | -24.2% | 110 days | Not yet recovered |
| Apr 8, 2024 | Jul 9, 2024 | -21.4% | 63 days | 80 days (Oct 30, 2024) |
| Mar 3, 2026 | Mar 13, 2026 | -15.6% | 8 days | 23 days (Apr 16, 2026) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $21.79B
- P/E (TTM)
- 53.9
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $3.39
- Revenue (TTM)
- $8.57B
- 52-week range
- $121.48 – $232.05
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.20B | $7.72B | $7.74B | $8.07B | $8.16B |
| Gross profit | $525.0M | $730.0M | $770.0M | $915.0M | $979.0M |
| Operating income | $312.0M | $377.0M | $438.0M | $660.0M | $729.0M |
| Net income | $336.0M | $666.0M | $189.0M | $387.0M | $316.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.95 | $5.76 | $1.60 | $3.23 | $2.64 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.05B | $1.92B | $1.95B | $2.08B | $2.11B | $2.01B | $2.10B | $2.35B |
| Net income | $95.0M | $75.0M | $69.0M | $106.0M | $82.0M | $59.0M | $101.0M | $162.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.79 | $0.63 | $0.57 | $0.89 | $0.68 | $0.50 | $0.85 | $1.36 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $721.0M | $832.0M | $682.0M | $808.0M | $986.0M |
| Capital expenditure | -$269.0M | -$521.0M | -$1.53B | -$789.0M | -$657.0M |
| Free cash flow | $452.0M | $311.0M | -$851.0M | $19.0M | $329.0M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $384.0M | -$27.0M | $0 | $0 | -$125.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $298.0M
- Total assets
- $8.33B
- Total liabilities
- $6.37B
- Total debt
- $3.99B
- Net debt
- $3.69B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $1.96B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 30, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 6,358,139
- Days to cover
- 6.10
- Change vs previous report
- +1.2%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Nov 1, 2022
- 1,683-for-1,000
- Aug 2, 2021
- 859-for-500
- Sep 2, 2011
- 1-for-4