Stocks · Industrials · Security & Protection Services
CoreCivic, Inc. CXW
$33.73 +0.90% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $3.31B
Strong trend
Next earnings report: Nov 4, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Net debt is 3.2× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
- The stock is in an uptrend: above its 200-day average for 128 trading days, with the 50-day average above the 200-day.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $2.48B, up 24.3% from a year earlier, accelerating from 19.9% a quarter earlier.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 19%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 28%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 15%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 43%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 24%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 38%
- Gross marginBottom 28%
- Operating marginTop 29%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 46%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 29%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 28%
- Interest coverTop 47%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 35%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 36%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 26%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 44%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 25%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 9%
- 6-month returnTop 8%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 9%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 11%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 11%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 22%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 45%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 12%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 19%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 48%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 17%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 42%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 28%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 19.9% | 24.3% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 59.2% | 29.8% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 24.3% | 19.8% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 9.9% | 12.7% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 8.5% | 2.3% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 24.3% | 19.9% | ↑ | Top 19% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 29.8% | 59.2% | ↓ | Top 28% |
| Gross margin | 19.8% | 24.3% | ↓ | Bottom 28% |
| Operating margin | 12.7% | 9.9% | ↑ | Top 29% |
| Net margin | 5.1% | 5.2% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 2.3% | 8.5% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 7.6% | — | Top 38% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 6.2% | — | Top 43% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.56×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -2.1%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1.1%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +29.8 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 3.24×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 4.2×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 5.75%
- Shareholder yield
- 5.76%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -4.7%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -3.0%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 2
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 6 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- -13.3%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +4.9%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 5 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $37.50
- Target vs current price
- +11.2%
- Analysts with a rating
- 14
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 86%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | +7.6% | +3.6% | +12.5% | +8.5% | — |
| May 6, 2026 | +28.8% | +9.0% | +0.9% | +11.8% | +54.0% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | -39.5% | -1.0% | -0.7% | -6.4% | +16.7% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | -50.0% | +1.1% | -6.5% | +0.9% | +0.4% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | +45.8% | -2.5% | +2.9% | -0.2% | -7.2% |
| May 7, 2025 | +79.7% | -2.0% | -5.8% | -4.6% | -15.0% |
| Feb 10, 2025 | +70.0% | +2.2% | +2.2% | +3.1% | +25.1% |
| Nov 6, 2024 | +115.9% | +29.0% | +62.4% | +60.5% | +38.5% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $0.37 | $0.34 | +7.6% | $684.9M |
| May 6, 2026 | $0.38 | $0.30 | +28.8% | $614.7M |
| Feb 11, 2026 | $0.26 | $0.43 | -39.5% | $604.0M |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $0.24 | $0.48 | -50.0% | $580.4M |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $0.35 | $0.24 | +45.8% | $538.2M |
| May 7, 2025 | $0.23 | $0.13 | +79.7% | $488.6M |
| Feb 10, 2025 | $0.17 | $0.10 | +70.0% | $479.3M |
| Nov 6, 2024 | $0.19 | $0.09 | +115.9% | $491.6M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 27.6× | 19.5× | 83th | Top 35% |
| P/E (forward) | 2.0× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 11.9× | — | — | Top 26% |
| EV / Sales | 1.83× | — | — | Top 44% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 1.73% | — | — | Bottom 36% |
| Earnings yield | 3.62% | — | — | Top 35% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 8.4× – 32.7× since Mar 31, 2022. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +73.2%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +29.8%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +24.2%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✓ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 2
- Days above the 200-day average
- 128
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +3.2%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +6.8%
- Distance from 50-day average
- +2.4%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +37.0%
- RSI (14)
- 52.5
- Relative volume
- 1.14×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 42.6%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 70th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.15
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.29
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -5.1%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -32.6%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2022 | Apr 26, 2023 | -39.7% | 255 days | 135 days (Nov 7, 2023) |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Nov 18, 2025 | -32.6% | 255 days | 137 days (Jun 8, 2026) |
| Jun 3, 2024 | Jun 18, 2024 | -31.2% | 11 days | 98 days (Nov 6, 2024) |
| Jun 17, 2021 | Oct 27, 2021 | -30.2% | 92 days | 117 days (Apr 14, 2022) |
| Oct 2, 2020 | Oct 28, 2020 | -28.8% | 18 days | 89 days (Mar 9, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $3.31B
- P/E (TTM)
- 27.6
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $1.22
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.48B
- 52-week range
- $15.74 – $36.55
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.86B | $1.85B | $1.90B | $1.96B | $2.21B |
| Gross profit | $525.6M | $431.5M | $306.9M | $468.3M | $518.7M |
| Operating income | $189.4M | $175.9M | $170.8M | $188.2M | $349.1M |
| Net income | -$51.9M | $122.3M | $67.6M | $68.9M | $116.5M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.43 | $1.03 | $0.59 | $0.62 | $1.08 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $491.6M | $479.3M | $488.6M | $538.2M | $580.4M | $604.0M | $614.7M | $684.9M |
| Net income | $21.1M | $19.3M | $25.1M | $38.5M | $26.3M | $26.5M | $37.9M | $37.1M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.19 | $0.17 | $0.23 | $0.35 | $0.24 | $0.26 | $0.36 | $0.36 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $263.2M | $153.6M | $231.9M | $269.2M | $194.6M |
| Capital expenditure | -$80.9M | -$81.4M | -$70.3M | -$71.2M | -$140.6M |
| Free cash flow | $182.3M | $72.2M | $161.6M | $198.0M | $54.0M |
| Dividends paid | -$2.5M | -$886,000 | -$131,000 | -$136,000 | -$45,000 |
| Net share buybacks | -$1.6M | -$79.9M | -$43.0M | -$77.2M | -$229.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $108.9M
- Total assets
- $3.46B
- Total liabilities
- $2.02B
- Total debt
- $1.35B
- Net debt
- $1.24B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $1.44B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 6, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2020 | $0.44 | Apr 15, 2020 |
| Jan 3, 2020 | $0.44 | Jan 15, 2020 |
| Sep 30, 2019 | $0.44 | Oct 15, 2019 |
| Jun 28, 2019 | $0.44 | Jul 16, 2019 |
| Mar 29, 2019 | $0.44 | Apr 15, 2019 |
| Dec 31, 2018 | $0.43 | Jan 15, 2019 |
| Sep 28, 2018 | $0.43 | Oct 15, 2018 |
| Jun 29, 2018 | $0.43 | Jul 16, 2018 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 14,561,701
- Days to cover
- 7.62
- Change vs previous report
- +1.4%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Jul 9, 2007
- 2-for-1
- Sep 14, 2006
- 3-for-2
- May 18, 2001
- 1-for-10