Stocks · Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services
Herc Holdings Inc. HRI
$135.51 -2.07% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $4.63B
Strong growthHigh risk
Next earnings report: Oct 27, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $1.47, up 69.0% year over year.
- Operating margin narrowed to 14.5% from 23.3% a year earlier.
- The diluted share count rose 11.7% in a year.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 15%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 17%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 17%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 34%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 48%
- Gross marginTop 48%
- Operating marginTop 25%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 7%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 35%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 6%
- Interest coverBottom 34%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 38%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 39%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 30%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 37%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 19%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 47%
- 6-month returnTop 13%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 46%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 44%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 41%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 8%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 24%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 18%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 41%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 41%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 32%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 22%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 6%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 28.4% | 28.5% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -106.0% | 69.0% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 36.2% | 28.9% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 23.3% | 14.5% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | -2.4% | 1.9% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 28.5% | 28.4% | ↑ | Top 15% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 69.0% | -106.0% | ↑ | Top 17% |
| Gross margin | 28.9% | 36.2% | ↓ | Top 48% |
| Operating margin | 14.5% | 23.3% | ↓ | Top 25% |
| Net margin | 1.0% | 0.6% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 1.9% | -2.4% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 5.4% | — | Bottom 48% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 16.9% | — | Top 17% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 3.00×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -5.8%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.5%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -25.0 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 8.45×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 1.3×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 2.01%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.09%
- Shareholder yield
- 2.10%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +11.7%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +5.4%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 28, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 5
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 5 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +80.1%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -2.9%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $187.67
- Target vs current price
- +38.5%
- Analysts with a rating
- 18
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 78%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | +87.2% | -7.3% | +2.5% | -1.2% | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | +201.3% | +7.5% | -0.6% | +8.9% | +31.0% |
| Feb 17, 2026 | +10.7% | -13.3% | -15.6% | -36.7% | -19.6% |
| Oct 28, 2025 | +21.3% | +4.0% | +2.3% | +0.1% | +19.8% |
| Jul 29, 2025 | +45.0% | -17.5% | -24.0% | -12.1% | -13.7% |
| Apr 22, 2025 | -41.2% | -8.2% | -0.3% | +22.5% | +23.0% |
| Feb 13, 2025 | -10.1% | -6.0% | -13.9% | -41.2% | -41.5% |
| Oct 22, 2024 | -2.9% | +17.5% | +26.9% | +28.6% | +21.7% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | $1.43 | $0.76 | +87.2% | $1.20B |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $0.21 | -$0.21 | +201.3% | $1.14B |
| Feb 17, 2026 | $2.07 | $1.87 | +10.7% | $1.21B |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $2.22 | $1.83 | +21.3% | $1.30B |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $1.87 | $1.29 | +45.0% | $1.00B |
| Apr 22, 2025 | $1.30 | $2.21 | -41.2% | $861.0M |
| Feb 13, 2025 | $3.58 | $3.98 | -10.1% | $757.0M |
| Oct 22, 2024 | $4.35 | $4.48 | -2.9% | $965.0M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 92.2× | 14.6× | 89th | Bottom 38% |
| P/E (forward) | 19.0× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 12.6× | — | — | Top 30% |
| EV / Sales | 2.89× | — | — | Bottom 37% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 2.01% | — | — | Bottom 39% |
| Earnings yield | 1.08% | — | — | Bottom 38% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 8.7× – 142.1× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +9.5%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +69.0%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +520.9%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -2.4%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.1%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -9.8%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -4.1%
- RSI (14)
- 45.7
- Relative volume
- 0.58×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 50.6%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 51th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.58
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.40
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -25.2%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -62.0%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2024 | Apr 2, 2026 | -62.0% | 350 days | Not yet recovered |
| Nov 9, 2021 | Jun 23, 2022 | -55.9% | 155 days | 586 days (Oct 22, 2024) |
| Mar 17, 2021 | Apr 20, 2021 | -15.2% | 23 days | 12 days (May 6, 2021) |
| Jun 1, 2021 | Jun 18, 2021 | -12.6% | 13 days | 22 days (Jul 21, 2021) |
| Aug 12, 2021 | Aug 19, 2021 | -12.1% | 5 days | 23 days (Sep 22, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $4.63B
- P/E (TTM)
- 92.2
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $1.47
- Revenue (TTM)
- $4.86B
- Dividend yield
- 2.07%
- 52-week range
- $88.45 – $188.35
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.07B | $2.74B | $3.28B | $3.57B | $4.38B |
| Gross profit | $756.0M | $1.06B | $1.22B | $1.35B | $1.23B |
| Operating income | $446.0M | $654.0M | $775.0M | $870.0M | $670.0M |
| Net income | $224.0M | $330.0M | $347.0M | $211.0M | $1.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $7.37 | $10.92 | $12.09 | $7.40 | $0.03 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $965.0M | $951.0M | $861.0M | $1.00B | $1.30B | $1.21B | $1.14B | $1.20B |
| Net income | $122.0M | -$46.0M | -$18.0M | -$35.0M | $30.0M | $24.0M | -$24.0M | $19.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $4.28 | -$1.61 | -$0.63 | -$1.17 | $0.90 | $0.72 | -$0.72 | $0.57 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $743.0M | $917.0M | $1.09B | $1.23B | $1.12B |
| Capital expenditure | -$641.0M | -$1.27B | -$1.48B | -$1.21B | -$1.25B |
| Free cash flow | $102.0M | -$355.0M | -$390.0M | $16.0M | -$135.0M |
| Dividends paid | -$15.0M | -$68.0M | -$73.0M | -$77.0M | -$87.0M |
| Net share buybacks | $5.0M | -$111.0M | -$113.0M | $7.0M | -$2.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $43.0M
- Total assets
- $13.72B
- Total liabilities
- $11.83B
- Total debt
- $9.46B
- Net debt
- $9.42B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $1.89B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 28, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | $0.70 | Sep 16, 2026 |
| May 29, 2026 | $0.70 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Feb 18, 2026 | $0.70 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | $0.70 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Aug 22, 2025 | $0.70 | Sep 5, 2025 |
| May 30, 2025 | $0.70 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | $0.70 | Mar 4, 2025 |
| Dec 16, 2024 | $0.67 | Dec 27, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 2,433,857
- Days to cover
- 3.73
- Change vs previous report
- +11.8%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Jul 1, 2016
- 1-for-3