Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
LGI Homes, Inc. LGIH
$46.45 -3.51% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $1.12B
Next earnings report: Nov 3, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $2.85, down 57.0% year over year.
- The shares trade at 16.3× trailing earnings, higher than 90% of the company's own readings over the past five years.
- Net debt is 16.0× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 5%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 19%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 9%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 7%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 25%
- Gross marginBottom 18%
- Operating marginBottom 36%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 41%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 19%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 5%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 32%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 20%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 20%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 43%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 13%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 42%
- 6-month returnTop 27%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 46%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 45%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 47%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 50%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 38%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 44%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 10%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 34%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 18%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Top 43%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 5%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -22.6% | -16.5% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -60.6% | -57.0% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 23.3% | 19.4% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 8.1% | 4.0% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | -8.6% | 7.7% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -16.5% | -22.6% | ↑ | Bottom 5% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -57.0% | -60.6% | ↑ | Bottom 19% |
| Gross margin | 19.4% | 23.3% | ↓ | Bottom 18% |
| Operating margin | 4.0% | 8.1% | ↓ | Bottom 36% |
| Net margin | 3.9% | 7.6% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 7.7% | -8.6% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 1.4% | — | Bottom 25% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -9.5% | — | Bottom 9% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 2.00×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -1.7%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.4%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +14.4 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 16.00×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -2.45%
- Shareholder yield
- -2.45%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -0.5%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -0.5%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 4, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 3
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 5 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +9.1%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +4.1%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 4 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $88.80
- Target vs current price
- +91.2%
- Analysts with a rating
- 13
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 54%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | +18.7% | +9.6% | +1.1% | -0.3% | — |
| Apr 28, 2026 | +26.3% | +8.0% | -1.0% | +3.2% | +28.7% |
| Feb 17, 2026 | +1.0% | -4.4% | -12.6% | -31.4% | -25.0% |
| Nov 4, 2025 | -9.6% | +9.1% | +12.3% | +29.2% | +23.0% |
| Aug 5, 2025 | +12.4% | +8.6% | +4.2% | +10.7% | -17.9% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | -77.3% | -7.8% | -5.6% | -9.1% | -1.7% |
| Feb 25, 2025 | -6.9% | +2.5% | -7.4% | -4.4% | -27.0% |
| Nov 5, 2024 | +16.1% | +7.4% | +4.6% | +5.4% | -17.8% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | $1.16 | $0.98 | +18.7% | $516.0M |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $0.24 | $0.19 | +26.3% | $319.7M |
| Feb 17, 2026 | $0.97 | $0.96 | +1.0% | $474.0M |
| Nov 4, 2025 | $0.85 | $0.94 | -9.6% | $396.6M |
| Aug 5, 2025 | $1.36 | $1.21 | +12.4% | $483.5M |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $0.17 | $0.75 | -77.3% | $351.4M |
| Feb 25, 2025 | $2.15 | $2.31 | -6.9% | $557.4M |
| Nov 5, 2024 | $2.95 | $2.54 | +16.1% | $651.9M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 16.3× | 9.8× | 90th | Top 32% |
| P/E (forward) | 14.3× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 27.7× | — | — | Bottom 20% |
| EV / Sales | 1.55× | — | — | Bottom 43% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 11.71% | — | — | Top 20% |
| Earnings yield | 6.14% | — | — | Top 32% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 5.5× – 21.6× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -11.2%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -57.0%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +140.9%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -7.1%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +0.0%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -14.6%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -8.0%
- RSI (14)
- 37.2
- Relative volume
- 0.90×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 50.4%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 54th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.96
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.26
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -29.5%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -74.8%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2021 | Mar 20, 2026 | -81.3% | 1222 days | Not yet recovered |
| Oct 15, 2020 | Jan 8, 2021 | -24.6% | 58 days | 39 days (Mar 8, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $1.12B
- P/E (TTM)
- 16.3
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $2.85
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.71B
- 52-week range
- $33.55 – $66.25
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.05B | $2.30B | $2.36B | $2.20B | $1.71B |
| Gross profit | $818.0M | $646.6M | $542.2M | $533.3M | $353.5M |
| Operating income | $547.7M | $390.1M | $233.3M | $212.1M | $79.8M |
| Net income | $429.6M | $326.6M | $199.2M | $196.1M | $72.6M |
| EPS (diluted) | $17.25 | $13.76 | $8.42 | $8.30 | $3.12 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $651.9M | $557.4M | $351.4M | $483.5M | $396.6M | $474.0M | $319.7M | $516.0M |
| Net income | $69.6M | $50.9M | $4.0M | $31.5M | $19.7M | $17.3M | $2.2M | $27.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.95 | $2.15 | $0.17 | $1.36 | $0.85 | $0.75 | $0.09 | $1.16 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $21.7M | -$370.5M | -$57.0M | -$143.7M | -$140.0M |
| Capital expenditure | -$1.7M | -$1.2M | -$1.4M | -$2.0M | -$924,000 |
| Free cash flow | $20.0M | -$371.6M | -$58.4M | -$145.7M | -$140.9M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | -$186.7M | -$89.5M | $5.3M | -$26.1M | -$20.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $61.1M
- Total assets
- $3.92B
- Total liabilities
- $1.79B
- Total debt
- $1.59B
- Net debt
- $1.52B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $2.13B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 4, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 3,135,226
- Days to cover
- 10.02
- Change vs previous report
- +0.6%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.