Stocks · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Alcoholic
Constellation Brands, Inc. STZ
$113.31 +0.39% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $19.28B
Inexpensive vs sector
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- At 10.8× trailing earnings, the shares trade at the lowest P/E of the company's past five years.
- Net debt is 3.2× EBITDA, a high level of leverage.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Defensive sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 11%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 35%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 26%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 44%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 26%
- Gross marginTop 22%
- Operating marginTop 2%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 36%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 32%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 31%
- Interest coverTop 42%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 5%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 25%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueTop 23%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 13%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 5%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 46%
- 6-month returnBottom 16%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 39%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 41%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 22%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 44%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 27%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 40%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 31%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 21%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 41%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 43%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Bottom 31%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -10.5% | -10.0% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 51.1% | 52.6% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 35.2% | 32.1% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 20.5% | 20.3% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -10.0% | -10.5% | ↑ | Bottom 11% |
| Gross margin | 52.6% | 51.1% | ↑ | Top 22% |
| Operating margin | 32.1% | 35.2% | ↓ | Top 2% |
| Net margin | 20.1% | -4.4% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 20.3% | 20.5% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 10.9% | — | Top 26% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -1.1% | — | Bottom 26% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.48×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -3.9%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.1%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -0.7 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 3.15×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 8.5×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 3.69%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 4.33%
- Shareholder yield
- 8.03%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -3.1%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -2.1%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through May 31, 2026 (filed Jul 1, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 4
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 6 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +10.3%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -2.4%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 3 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $160.54
- Target vs current price
- +41.7%
- Analysts with a rating
- 46
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 54%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | +6.5% | -0.4% | -5.7% | -5.5% | -16.5% |
| Apr 8, 2026 | +11.1% | -2.3% | +6.9% | -2.6% | -10.6% |
| Jan 7, 2026 | +16.3% | -2.2% | +6.6% | +16.0% | +5.3% |
| Oct 6, 2025 | +7.4% | -2.5% | -0.6% | -7.6% | -1.5% |
| Jul 1, 2025 | -2.7% | +2.3% | +4.8% | +8.1% | -18.0% |
| Apr 9, 2025 | +15.9% | +7.3% | +7.5% | +11.0% | -0.4% |
| Jan 10, 2025 | -1.8% | -17.1% | -15.8% | -22.9% | -21.3% |
| Oct 3, 2024 | +5.9% | -4.7% | -6.0% | -7.9% | -12.9% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2026 | $3.43 | $3.22 | +6.5% | $2.43B |
| Apr 8, 2026 | $1.90 | $1.71 | +11.1% | $1.92B |
| Jan 7, 2026 | $3.06 | $2.63 | +16.3% | $2.22B |
| Oct 6, 2025 | $3.63 | $3.38 | +7.4% | $2.48B |
| Jul 1, 2025 | $3.22 | $3.31 | -2.7% | $2.51B |
| Apr 9, 2025 | $2.63 | $2.27 | +15.9% | $2.16B |
| Jan 10, 2025 | $3.25 | $3.31 | -1.8% | $2.46B |
| Oct 3, 2024 | $4.32 | $4.08 | +5.9% | $2.92B |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 10.8× | 29.4× | 0th | Top 5% |
| P/E (forward) | 9.7× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 9.0× | — | — | Top 23% |
| EV / Sales | 3.28× | — | — | Bottom 13% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 9.51% | — | — | Top 25% |
| Earnings yield | 9.25% | — | — | Top 5% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 13.1× – 78.3× since May 31, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✗ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -4.8%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -1.4%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -10.6%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -20.8%
- RSI (14)
- 26.7
- Relative volume
- 1.29×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 27.1%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 67th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 0.44
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.22
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -32.0%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -58.5%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2023 | Sep 29, 2026 | -58.7% | 794 days | Not yet recovered |
| Dec 2, 2022 | Jan 5, 2023 | -20.1% | 22 days | 133 days (Jul 19, 2023) |
| Jan 4, 2022 | Mar 11, 2022 | -16.6% | 46 days | 27 days (Apr 20, 2022) |
| Apr 20, 2022 | Oct 10, 2022 | -14.5% | 119 days | 38 days (Dec 2, 2022) |
| May 3, 2021 | Sep 21, 2021 | -14.0% | 98 days | 65 days (Dec 22, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $19.28B
- P/E (TTM)
- 10.8
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $10.48
- Revenue (TTM)
- $9.06B
- Dividend yield
- 3.62%
- 52-week range
- $110.60 – $168.60
| FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | FY 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.82B | $9.45B | $9.96B | $10.21B | $9.14B |
| Gross profit | $4.60B | $4.81B | $4.91B | $5.20B | $4.71B |
| Operating income | $2.90B | $2.99B | $3.13B | $3.62B | $2.86B |
| Net income | -$40.4M | -$71.0M | $1.73B | -$81.4M | $1.69B |
| EPS (diluted) | -$0.21 | -$0.37 | $9.39 | -$0.45 | $9.61 |
| Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | Q3 2026 | Q4 2026 | Q1 2027 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.92B | $2.46B | $2.16B | $2.51B | $2.48B | $2.22B | $1.92B | $2.43B |
| Net income | -$1.20B | $615.9M | -$375.3M | $516.1M | $466.0M | $502.8M | $201.8M | $653.8M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$6.59 | $3.39 | -$2.09 | $2.90 | $2.65 | $2.88 | $1.16 | $3.79 |
| FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | FY 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $2.71B | $2.76B | $2.78B | $3.15B | $2.67B |
| Capital expenditure | -$1.03B | -$1.04B | -$1.27B | -$1.21B | -$875.0M |
| Free cash flow | $1.68B | $1.72B | $1.51B | $1.94B | $1.79B |
| Dividends paid | -$573.0M | -$587.7M | -$653.8M | -$731.8M | -$715.7M |
| Net share buybacks | -$1.39B | -$3.20B | -$249.7M | -$1.05B | -$916.4M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $96.6M
- Total assets
- $22.11B
- Total liabilities
- $13.56B
- Total debt
- $10.53B
- Net debt
- $10.44B
- Shareholders’ equity
- $8.26B
As of May 31, 2026 (filed Jul 1, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $1.03 | Aug 13, 2026 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $1.03 | May 14, 2026 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | $1.02 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $1.02 | Nov 13, 2025 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $1.02 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $1.02 | May 15, 2025 |
| Feb 7, 2025 | $1.01 | Feb 21, 2025 |
| Nov 5, 2024 | $1.01 | Nov 21, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 8,516,727
- Days to cover
- 3.44
- Change vs previous report
- +4.2%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- May 16, 2005
- 2-for-1
- May 14, 2002
- 2-for-1
- May 15, 2001
- 2-for-1
- Jul 21, 1992
- 3-for-2
- Nov 12, 1991
- 3-for-2