Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Auto - Parts
XPEL, Inc. XPEL
$44.99 +0.04% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $1.24B
High quality
Next earnings report: Nov 4, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $508.1M, up 13.2% from a year earlier.
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $1.97, up 11.9% year over year.
- Over the past year the stock returned +31.0%, ahead of the S&P 500 by 15.2 percentage points.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 18%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 39%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 7%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 13%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 43%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 19%
- Gross marginTop 36%
- Operating marginTop 24%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Bottom 32%
- Accruals (lower is better)Bottom 35%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 17%
- Interest coverTop 4%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 50%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 20%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 37%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 24%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Top 34%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 13%
- 6-month returnTop 48%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 19%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 34%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 47%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersBottom 47%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 38%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 9%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 32%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 41%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 28%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 44%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 17%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 12.8% | 13.2% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | 11.7% | 11.9% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 42.1% | 42.9% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 13.6% | 13.5% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 11.7% | -0.6% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 13.2% | 12.8% | ↑ | Top 18% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 11.9% | 11.7% | ↑ | Top 39% |
| Gross margin | 42.9% | 42.1% | ↑ | Top 36% |
| Operating margin | 13.5% | 13.6% | ↓ | Top 24% |
| Net margin | 10.8% | 10.8% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -0.6% | 11.7% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 14.0% | — | Top 19% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 13.7% | — | Top 13% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.35×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -4.1%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.6%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +27.4 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 0.27×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 255.4×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.00%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.48%
- Shareholder yield
- 0.48%
- Share count change, 1 year
- -0.1%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +0.0%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 7, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 3
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 6 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +8.6%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -0.1%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 5 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $65.00
- Target vs current price
- +44.5%
- Analysts with a rating
- 6
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 83%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | +12.8% | +9.5% | +4.4% | +4.9% | — |
| May 6, 2026 | +12.1% | -11.8% | -17.4% | -8.3% | -10.1% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | +11.6% | -6.9% | -14.5% | -20.2% | -10.4% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | -2.1% | +0.9% | +11.5% | +38.3% | +51.4% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | +13.5% | +5.4% | +14.4% | +7.4% | +8.5% |
| May 6, 2025 | +24.0% | +14.4% | +31.1% | +27.0% | +11.9% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | -14.6% | -14.6% | -25.4% | -16.2% | -11.1% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | +5.9% | +2.0% | +9.2% | +7.7% | +1.8% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $0.68 | $0.60 | +12.8% | $143.1M |
| May 6, 2026 | $0.37 | $0.33 | +12.1% | $117.4M |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $0.48 | $0.43 | +11.6% | $122.3M |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $0.47 | $0.48 | -2.1% | $125.4M |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $0.59 | $0.52 | +13.5% | $124.7M |
| May 6, 2025 | $0.31 | $0.25 | +24.0% | $103.8M |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $0.35 | $0.41 | -14.6% | $107.5M |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $0.54 | $0.51 | +5.9% | $112.9M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 22.8× | 26.2× | 29th | Top 50% |
| P/E (forward) | 20.4× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 15.2× | — | — | Bottom 37% |
| EV / Sales | 2.48× | — | — | Bottom 24% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -0.25% | — | — | Bottom 20% |
| Earnings yield | 4.38% | — | — | Top 50% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 19.1× – 75.9× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +31.0%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +11.9%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +33.2%
Most of the move came from a change in the valuation multiple.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.2%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -0.4%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -5.0%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -4.2%
- RSI (14)
- 44.5
- Relative volume
- 1.11×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 37.9%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 19th percentile · Low for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.09
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.36
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -18.1%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -68.1%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2021 | Apr 8, 2025 | -75.6% | 931 days | Not yet recovered |
| Jan 14, 2021 | Feb 25, 2021 | -22.5% | 28 days | 10 days (Mar 11, 2021) |
| Mar 11, 2021 | Mar 29, 2021 | -20.2% | 12 days | 18 days (Apr 23, 2021) |
| Oct 13, 2020 | Oct 30, 2020 | -14.8% | 13 days | 7 days (Nov 10, 2020) |
| Apr 26, 2021 | May 6, 2021 | -12.9% | 8 days | 2 days (May 10, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $1.24B
- P/E (TTM)
- 22.8
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $1.97
- Revenue (TTM)
- $508.1M
- 52-week range
- $31.88 – $55.91
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $259.3M | $324.0M | $396.3M | $420.4M | $476.2M |
| Gross profit | $92.7M | $127.5M | $162.4M | $177.4M | $201.0M |
| Operating income | $40.1M | $53.9M | $67.0M | $59.1M | $62.6M |
| Net income | $31.6M | $41.4M | $52.8M | $45.5M | $51.2M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.14 | $1.50 | $1.91 | $1.65 | $1.85 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $112.9M | $107.5M | $103.8M | $124.7M | $125.4M | $122.3M | $117.4M | $143.1M |
| Net income | $14.9M | $8.9M | $8.6M | $16.3M | $12.9M | $13.4M | $10.3M | $18.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.54 | $0.32 | $0.31 | $0.59 | $0.47 | $0.48 | $0.37 | $0.65 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $18.3M | $12.1M | $37.4M | $47.8M | $66.9M |
| Capital expenditure | -$7.7M | -$9.6M | -$7.6M | -$6.7M | -$4.0M |
| Free cash flow | $10.6M | $2.5M | $29.7M | $41.1M | $62.9M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $0 | $0 | $0 | -$193,000 | -$3.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $40.7M
- Total assets
- $472.6M
- Total liabilities
- $154.1M
- Total debt
- $63.5M
- Net debt
- $22.9M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $306.1M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 7, 2026).
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 2,555,804
- Days to cover
- 13.63
- Change vs previous report
- -1.2%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.