Stocks · Industrials · Manufacturing - Metal Fabrication
GPGI, Inc. GPGI
$12.98 +0.62% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $3.74B
Weak trendExpensive vs sector
Next earnings report: Nov 2, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- The diluted share count rose 185.7% in a year.
- The stock is in a downtrend: below its 200-day average, with the 50-day average below the 200-day.
- The stock is 50% below its highest close of the past year.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Industrials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 1%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 27%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 1%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 33%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 21%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 16%
- Interest coverBottom 5%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 16%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 32%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 9%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 13%
- 6-month returnBottom 14%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 15%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 18%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 41%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 31%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 39%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 13%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Bottom 33%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 40%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 32%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -100.0% | -100.0% | → |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -100.0% | -100.0% | → | Bottom 1% |
| Return on invested capital | -2.4% | — | Bottom 21% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -45.9% | — | Bottom 1% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -10.3%
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- Net cash
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- -48.6×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 0.04%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- -56.19%
- Shareholder yield
- -56.15%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +185.7%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- +101.9%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jun 30, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 1
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 6 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +13.2%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -5.4%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 3 of 8
Analysts
- Analysts with a rating
- 6
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 83%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | +18.5% | -1.6% | -12.7% | -6.4% | — |
| May 7, 2026 | -25.0% | -25.9% | -30.5% | -31.4% | -15.4% |
| Mar 12, 2026 | +43.8% | -11.1% | -10.1% | -17.0% | -39.8% |
| Nov 3, 2025 | +15.8% | +3.4% | +4.2% | -1.6% | +22.2% |
| Aug 7, 2025 | +19.0% | +0.2% | +34.1% | +29.2% | +36.2% |
| May 12, 2025 | +33.5% | +2.7% | +10.5% | +20.2% | +24.1% |
| Mar 5, 2025 | +10.8% | -0.5% | -11.9% | -9.5% | +12.6% |
| Nov 8, 2024 | -5.6% | -10.8% | -10.8% | +3.4% | +1.8% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2026 | $0.17 | $0.14 | +18.5% | $473.2M |
| May 7, 2026 | $0.12 | $0.16 | -25.0% | $421.2M |
| Mar 12, 2026 | $0.23 | $0.16 | +43.8% | $118.0M |
| Nov 3, 2025 | $0.29 | $0.25 | +15.8% | $120.9M |
| Aug 7, 2025 | $0.25 | $0.21 | +19.0% | $119.6M |
| May 12, 2025 | $0.25 | $0.19 | +33.5% | $103.9M |
| Mar 5, 2025 | $0.20 | $0.18 | +10.8% | $100.9M |
| Nov 8, 2024 | $0.22 | $0.24 | -5.6% | $107.1M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward) | 13.1× | — | — | — |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 1.12% | — | — | Bottom 32% |
| Earnings yield | -15.18% | — | — | Bottom 16% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 2.5× – 10.1× since Sep 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -7.4%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -4.2%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -1.7%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -21.8%
- RSI (14)
- 54.1
- Relative volume
- 1.16×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 56.1%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 63th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.33
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.38
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -50.1%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -55.7%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2021 | Dec 9, 2022 | -59.2% | 474 days | 418 days (Aug 12, 2024) |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Jun 10, 2026 | -55.7% | 98 days | Not yet recovered |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Apr 8, 2025 | -32.5% | 34 days | 52 days (Jun 24, 2025) |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Nov 21, 2025 | -17.7% | 12 days | 32 days (Jan 9, 2026) |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Jan 13, 2025 | -16.6% | 18 days | 24 days (Feb 18, 2025) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $3.74B
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- -$1.97
- Revenue (TTM)
- $0
- Dividend yield
- 0.07%
- 52-week range
- $11.17 – $26.78
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $267.9M | $378.5M | $390.6M | $420.6M | $59.8M |
| Gross profit | $144.8M | $219.6M | $209.1M | $219.2M | $28.7M |
| Operating income | $81.4M | $114.9M | $119.1M | $107.6M | -$13.7M |
| Net income | $3.2M | $18.7M | $19.2M | -$53.7M | -$136.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.12 | $1.13 | $0.96 | -$1.22 | -$1.23 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $107.1M | $100.9M | $59.8M | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| Net income | -$42.1M | -$48.4M | $21.5M | -$26.1M | -$174.7M | $43.3M | -$235.0M | $50.3M |
| EPS (diluted) | -$1.10 | -$0.53 | $0.07 | -$0.26 | -$1.58 | $0.31 | -$0.87 | $0.17 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $77.8M | $92.8M | $104.3M | $127.4M | -$22.9M |
| Capital expenditure | -$4.7M | -$9.1M | -$10.9M | -$7.4M | -$387,000 |
| Free cash flow | $73.0M | $83.7M | $93.4M | $120.0M | -$23.3M |
| Dividends paid | $0 | $0 | $0 | -$8.9M | $0 |
| Net share buybacks | $0 | $0 | $1.2M | $5.0M | $144.1M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $7.7M
- Total assets
- $3.46B
- Total liabilities
- $290.1M
- Total debt
- $0
- Net debt
- -$7.7M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $3.17B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jun 30, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | $0.00 | Sep 1, 2026 |
| May 18, 2026 | $0.00 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Feb 13, 2026 | $0.00 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| May 17, 2024 | $0.30 | Jun 11, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 25,986,957
- Days to cover
- 12.73
- Change vs previous report
- -9.4%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Feb 28, 2025
- 301-for-250