Stocks · Basic Materials · Paper, Lumber & Forest Products
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation LPX
$65.29 +0.29% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NYSE · Market cap $4.55B
Weak trend
Next earnings report: Nov 4, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $0.79, down 81.3% year over year.
- Operating margin narrowed to 3.7% from 13.6% a year earlier.
- The shares trade at 82.6× trailing earnings, higher than 95% of the company's own readings over the past five years.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Basic Materials sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 7%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 20%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Bottom 12%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRBottom 14%
- Revenue growth accelerationBottom 29%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalBottom 39%
- Gross marginBottom 31%
- Operating marginBottom 34%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 8%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 31%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 30%
- Interest coverTop 28%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldBottom 42%
- Free-cash-flow yieldBottom 30%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 37%
- Sales / enterprise valueTop 50%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 8%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthBottom 13%
- 6-month returnBottom 44%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Bottom 16%
- Distance from 52-week highBottom 39%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Bottom 24%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 3%
- Consecutive EPS beatsBottom 21%
- Share of analysts rating BuyBottom 44%
- Upside to consensus price targetTop 36%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 40%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsTop 39%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 49%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 30%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | -13.0% | -14.3% | ↓ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -79.2% | -81.3% | ↓ |
| Gross margin | 25.3% | 18.0% | ↓ |
| Operating margin | 13.6% | 3.7% | ↓ |
| FCF margin | 9.6% | -0.8% | ↓ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | -14.3% | -13.0% | ↓ | Bottom 7% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | -81.3% | -79.2% | ↓ | Bottom 20% |
| Gross margin | 18.0% | 25.3% | ↓ | Bottom 31% |
| Operating margin | 3.7% | 13.6% | ↓ | Bottom 34% |
| Net margin | 2.2% | 10.3% | ↓ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | -0.8% | 9.6% | ↓ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 2.8% | — | Bottom 39% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | -11.1% | — | Bottom 14% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 3.00×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -7.9%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 0.9%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- +19.1 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 0.66×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 10.2×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 1.78%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.00%
- Shareholder yield
- 1.78%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +0.0%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -0.9%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 0
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 6 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +100.0%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- -1.3%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 3 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $95.71
- Target vs current price
- +46.6%
- Analysts with a rating
- 24
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 54%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | -28.1% | +0.7% | -1.7% | -10.4% | — |
| May 6, 2026 | +322.2% | +3.9% | +2.9% | +5.8% | +3.8% |
| Feb 17, 2026 | +150.0% | -5.1% | -13.1% | -19.1% | -23.4% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | -2.7% | -8.4% | -8.9% | -3.0% | -0.7% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | +2.1% | -1.8% | +0.7% | -2.0% | -6.2% |
| May 6, 2025 | +12.4% | +3.3% | +8.0% | +4.1% | +3.3% |
| Feb 19, 2025 | +30.4% | -10.1% | -10.7% | -18.0% | -17.9% |
| Nov 5, 2024 | +38.6% | +7.3% | +11.1% | +15.9% | +16.4% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | $0.40 | $0.56 | -28.1% | $664.0M |
| May 6, 2026 | $0.38 | $0.09 | +322.2% | $574.0M |
| Feb 17, 2026 | $0.03 | -$0.06 | +150.0% | $567.0M |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $0.36 | $0.37 | -2.7% | $663.0M |
| Aug 6, 2025 | $0.99 | $0.97 | +2.1% | $755.0M |
| May 6, 2025 | $1.27 | $1.13 | +12.4% | $724.0M |
| Feb 19, 2025 | $1.03 | $0.79 | +30.4% | $681.0M |
| Nov 5, 2024 | $1.22 | $0.88 | +38.6% | $722.0M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 82.6× | 17.3× | 95th | Bottom 42% |
| P/E (forward) | 60.9× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 20.7× | — | — | Bottom 37% |
| EV / Sales | 1.90× | — | — | Top 50% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | -0.42% | — | — | Bottom 30% |
| Earnings yield | 1.21% | — | — | Bottom 42% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 3.5× – 97.9× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- -27.4%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- -81.3%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +344.3%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✗ Price above 20-day average
- ✗ Price above 50-day average
- ✗ Price above 200-day average
- ✗ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 0
- Days above the 200-day average
- 0
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- -4.9%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- -2.0%
- Distance from 50-day average
- -7.0%
- Distance from 200-day average
- -14.7%
- RSI (14)
- 41.3
- Relative volume
- 1.37×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 37.8%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 38th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.00
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.40
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -33.8%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -46.3%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2024 | Sep 30, 2026 | -46.3% | 453 days | Not yet recovered |
| Dec 27, 2021 | Sep 26, 2022 | -38.6% | 188 days | 372 days (Mar 20, 2024) |
| May 10, 2021 | Jul 19, 2021 | -30.2% | 48 days | 99 days (Dec 7, 2021) |
| Jun 13, 2024 | Jul 9, 2024 | -14.5% | 16 days | 12 days (Jul 25, 2024) |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Apr 18, 2024 | -14.2% | 14 days | 14 days (May 8, 2024) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $4.55B
- P/E (TTM)
- 82.6
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $0.79
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.47B
- Dividend yield
- 1.81%
- 52-week range
- $62.18 – $100.34
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.92B | $3.85B | $2.58B | $2.94B | $2.71B |
| Gross profit | $1.96B | $1.50B | $593.0M | $831.0M | $589.0M |
| Operating income | $1.73B | $1.25B | $287.0M | $530.0M | $259.0M |
| Net income | $1.38B | $1.09B | $178.0M | $420.0M | $146.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $14.05 | $11.90 | $2.47 | $5.89 | $2.08 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $722.0M | $680.0M | $724.0M | $755.0M | $663.0M | $567.0M | $574.0M | $664.0M |
| Net income | $90.0M | $62.0M | $91.0M | $54.0M | $9.0M | -$8.0M | $27.0M | $26.0M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.27 | $0.89 | $1.30 | $0.77 | $0.13 | -$0.11 | $0.39 | $0.38 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $1.48B | $1.14B | $316.0M | $605.0M | $382.0M |
| Capital expenditure | -$254.0M | -$414.0M | -$300.0M | -$183.0M | -$291.0M |
| Free cash flow | $1.23B | $730.0M | $16.0M | $422.0M | $91.0M |
| Dividends paid | -$66.0M | -$69.0M | -$69.0M | -$74.0M | -$78.0M |
| Net share buybacks | -$1.30B | -$900.0M | $0 | -$212.0M | -$61.0M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $228.0M
- Total assets
- $2.61B
- Total liabilities
- $863.0M
- Total debt
- $377.0M
- Net debt
- $149.0M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $1.74B
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Aug 5, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | $0.30 | Aug 28, 2026 |
| May 14, 2026 | $0.30 | May 28, 2026 |
| Feb 27, 2026 | $0.30 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Nov 14, 2025 | $0.28 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Aug 15, 2025 | $0.28 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| May 20, 2025 | $0.28 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | $0.28 | Mar 13, 2025 |
| Nov 20, 2024 | $0.26 | Nov 27, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 8,214,663
- Days to cover
- 7.56
- Change vs previous report
- +8.3%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Jun 9, 1993
- 2-for-1
- Jun 8, 1992
- 3-for-2
- Feb 9, 1987
- 103-for-100
- Feb 10, 1986
- 103-for-100
- Feb 8, 1985
- 103-for-100