Stocks · Consumer Cyclical · Apparel - Footwear & Accessories
Steven Madden, Ltd. SHOO
$45.68 -0.63% Close, Oct 5, 2026 · NASDAQ · Market cap $3.36B
Strong growthHigh qualityStrong trend
Next earnings report: Nov 4, 2026
Scroll or pinch to zoom, drag to move. Daily prices adjusted for splits. Markers: E = earnings (green beat, red miss), S = split, D = dividend.
Three things to know
- Diluted EPS over the last four quarters was $2.00, up 57.5% year over year.
- Revenue over the last four quarters was $2.74B, up 18.0% from a year earlier, accelerating from 15.2% a quarter earlier.
- Over the past year the stock returned +33.4%, ahead of the S&P 500 by 17.6 percentage points.
PromtFinance scores
Each score is a percentile within the Consumer Cyclical sector (0–100). Under each score: how the stock ranks in its sector on every component. As of Oct 6, 2026.
How fast revenue, earnings and cash flow are growing.
- Revenue growth (TTM, YoY)Top 10%
- EPS growth (TTM, YoY)Top 16%
- FCF growth (TTM, YoY)Top 26%
- Revenue growth, 3-year CAGRTop 31%
- Revenue growth accelerationTop 17%
Returns on capital, margins, earnings quality and balance-sheet strength.
- Return on invested capitalTop 28%
- Gross marginTop 29%
- Operating marginTop 48%
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Top 49%
- Accruals (lower is better)Top 45%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 28%
- Interest coverTop 15%
How cheap the shares are relative to earnings, cash flow and their own history.
- Earnings yieldTop 50%
- Free-cash-flow yieldTop 44%
- EBITDA / enterprise valueBottom 38%
- Sales / enterprise valueBottom 47%
- P/E vs own 5-year history (lower is better)Bottom 31%
Strength and persistence of the price trend, including versus the S&P 500.
- 12-month return excluding last monthTop 23%
- 6-month returnTop 19%
- 1-year return vs S&P 500Top 18%
- Distance from 52-week highTop 9%
- Trend checklist (0–4)Top 8%
Earnings surprises and analyst sentiment (estimate-revision history is being collected).
- Average EPS surprise, last 4 quartersTop 45%
- Consecutive EPS beatsTop 38%
- Share of analysts rating BuyTop 22%
- Upside to consensus price targetBottom 32%
Low volatility, shallow drawdowns, low market sensitivity and modest leverage.
- Volatility, 60 days (lower is better)Top 37%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 yearsBottom 41%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (lower is better)Bottom 38%
- Net debt / EBITDA (lower is better)Top 28%
What changed
Latest four quarters versus the same period a year earlier (growth: versus one quarter earlier).
| Measure | Before | Now | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (YoY) | 15.2% | 18.0% | ↑ |
| EPS growth (YoY) | -54.3% | 57.5% | ↑ |
| Gross margin | 40.8% | 46.1% | ↑ |
| Operating margin | 5.8% | 7.4% | ↑ |
| FCF margin | 5.7% | 8.0% | ↑ |
Fundamental momentum
| Measure | Now (TTM) | Year / quarter before | Sector rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth (TTM, YoY) | 18.0% | 15.2% | ↑ | Top 10% |
| EPS growth (TTM, YoY) | 57.5% | -54.3% | ↑ | Top 16% |
| Gross margin | 46.1% | 40.8% | ↑ | Top 29% |
| Operating margin | 7.4% | 5.8% | ↑ | Top 48% |
| Net margin | 5.2% | 3.9% | ↑ | — |
| Free-cash-flow margin | 8.0% | 5.7% | ↑ | — |
| Return on invested capital | 11.0% | — | Top 28% | |
| Revenue growth, 3-year CAGR | 5.9% | — | Top 31% |
Quality of earnings and balance sheet
- Cash conversion (OCF / net income)Above 1× means profits are backed by cash.
- 1.80×
- Accruals (net income − OCF) / assetsLower is better; high accruals can signal weaker earnings quality.
- -6.2%
- Stock-based compensation / revenueA cost to shareholders through dilution.
- 1.1%
- Receivables growth vs revenue growthReceivables growing much faster than sales can be a warning.
- -16.0 pp
- Net debt / EBITDABelow 1× is conservative; above 3× is high leverage.
- 1.16×
- Interest cover (operating income / interest)How many times operating profit covers interest.
- 28.8×
Shareholder returns
- Dividend yield (dividends paid, TTM)
- 1.36%
- Net buyback yield (TTM)
- 0.41%
- Shareholder yield
- 1.77%
- Share count change, 1 year
- +1.7%
- Share count change, 3-year CAGR
- -1.2%
Shareholder yield = dividends + net buybacks over the last four quarters, divided by market cap.
Based on the four quarters through Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 31, 2026).
Earnings and expectations
Earnings momentum
- Consecutive EPS beats
- 3
- Beats in the last 8 reports
- 6 of 8
- Average EPS surprise, last 4
- +11.6%
- Average 2-day reaction, last 8
- +3.5%
- Positive 20 days after report
- 6 of 8
Analysts
- Consensus price target
- $54.67
- Target vs current price
- +19.7%
- Analysts with a rating
- 31
- Share rating Buy or Strong Buy
- 68%
- Consensus rating
- Buy
How the stock reacted to recent reports
| Report date | EPS surprise | 2 days | 5 days | 20 days | 60 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | +37.1% | +10.2% | +13.1% | +3.9% | — |
| May 6, 2026 | +7.1% | +6.2% | +2.3% | +16.2% | +22.3% |
| Feb 25, 2026 | +4.3% | -4.1% | -4.0% | -10.4% | +8.4% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | -2.3% | +13.6% | +18.4% | +34.3% | +39.0% |
| Jul 30, 2025 | -16.7% | -9.3% | -4.6% | +6.9% | +31.0% |
| May 7, 2025 | +30.4% | +16.3% | +32.9% | +22.6% | +16.8% |
| Feb 26, 2025 | +3.8% | -8.0% | -22.3% | -28.1% | -34.8% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | +2.2% | +3.1% | +0.1% | +0.5% | -15.0% |
Returns from the close before each report. Past reactions do not determine future ones.
Earnings history
| Report date | EPS | Estimate | Surprise | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | $0.44 | $0.32 | +37.1% | $662.9M |
| May 6, 2026 | $0.45 | $0.42 | +7.1% | $649.7M |
| Feb 25, 2026 | $0.48 | $0.46 | +4.3% | $749.8M |
| Nov 5, 2025 | $0.43 | $0.44 | -2.3% | $667.9M |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $0.20 | $0.24 | -16.7% | $559.0M |
| May 7, 2025 | $0.60 | $0.46 | +30.4% | $553.5M |
| Feb 26, 2025 | $0.55 | $0.53 | +3.8% | $582.3M |
| Nov 7, 2024 | $0.91 | $0.89 | +2.2% | $621.2M |
Valuation in context
| Multiple | Now | 5-year median | 5-year percentile | Sector rank (cheapness) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing) | 22.8× | 17.5× | 71th | Top 50% |
| P/E (forward) | 20.7× | — | — | — |
| EV / EBITDA | 15.0× | — | — | Bottom 38% |
| EV / Sales | 1.33× | — | — | Bottom 47% |
| Free-cash-flow yield | 6.49% | — | — | Top 44% |
| Earnings yield | 4.38% | — | — | Top 50% |
P/E over the past five years
Range 9.5× – 56.5× since Jun 30, 2021. Each point: price on the filing date divided by trailing-twelve-month EPS known then.
What moved the stock over the past year
- Price return, 1 year
- +33.4%
- Earnings per share growth (TTM)
- +57.5%
- Change in P/E multiple
- +16.6%
Most of the move came from earnings growth.
Technical state
Trend checklist
- ✓ Price above 20-day average
- ✓ Price above 50-day average
- ✓ Price above 200-day average
- ✓ 50-day average above 200-day
- ✓ MACD histogram positive
Trend quality
- Days above the 50-day average
- 3
- Days above the 200-day average
- 14
- 50-day average slope (20 days)
- +1.4%
- 200-day average slope (20 days)
- +0.4%
- Distance from 50-day average
- +1.6%
- Distance from 200-day average
- +10.6%
- RSI (14)
- 57.8
- Relative volume
- 0.82×
Risk and drawdowns
- Volatility, 60 days (annualized)
- 36.5%
- Volatility vs own 5-year history
- 52th percentile · Normal for this stock
- Beta vs S&P 500 (2 years, weekly)
- 1.16
- Correlation with S&P 500
- 0.40
- Current drawdown from 1-year high
- -6.9%
- Maximum drawdown, 3 years
- -60.7%
Largest declines in the past six years
| From peak | To low | Decline | Length | Recovery |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | Apr 16, 2025 | -61.9% | 856 days | Not yet recovered |
| Jun 25, 2021 | Sep 16, 2021 | -13.5% | 57 days | 27 days (Oct 25, 2021) |
| Mar 11, 2021 | Mar 23, 2021 | -11.0% | 8 days | 21 days (Apr 22, 2021) |
| Jan 12, 2021 | Jan 29, 2021 | -10.1% | 12 days | 15 days (Feb 22, 2021) |
Declines of 10% or more from a closing high, measured on daily closes.
Financial statements
- Market cap
- $3.36B
- P/E (TTM)
- 22.8
- EPS, diluted (TTM)
- $2.00
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.74B
- Dividend yield
- 1.84%
- 52-week range
- $31.33 – $49.70
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.87B | $2.12B | $1.98B | $2.28B | $2.52B |
| Gross profit | $767.5M | $873.8M | $832.4M | $936.9M | $1.04B |
| Operating income | $243.6M | $281.6M | $213.2M | $224.9M | $68.9M |
| Net income | $190.7M | $216.1M | $171.6M | $169.4M | $44.7M |
| EPS (diluted) | $2.34 | $2.77 | $2.30 | $2.35 | $0.63 |
| Q3 2024 | Q4 2024 | Q1 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q4 2025 | Q1 2026 | Q2 2026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $624.7M | $582.3M | $553.5M | $559.0M | $667.9M | $753.7M | $649.7M | $665.9M |
| Net income | $55.3M | $34.8M | $40.4M | -$39.5M | $20.5M | $23.2M | $71.8M | $27.7M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.77 | $0.49 | $0.57 | -$0.56 | $0.29 | $0.33 | $1.00 | $0.38 |
| FY 2021 | FY 2022 | FY 2023 | FY 2024 | FY 2025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Operating cash flow | $159.5M | $267.9M | $229.2M | $198.1M | $162.2M |
| Capital expenditure | -$6.6M | -$18.4M | -$19.5M | -$25.9M | -$42.7M |
| Free cash flow | $152.9M | $249.5M | $209.8M | $172.2M | $119.5M |
| Dividends paid | -$49.2M | -$66.0M | -$63.2M | -$61.0M | -$61.0M |
| Net share buybacks | -$123.2M | -$148.9M | -$142.3M | -$98.4M | -$13.5M |
Cash outflows are shown as negative numbers.
- Cash and short-term investments
- $94.7M
- Total assets
- $1.84B
- Total liabilities
- $864.0M
- Total debt
- $377.1M
- Net debt
- $282.4M
- Shareholders’ equity
- $939.6M
As of Jun 30, 2026 (filed Jul 31, 2026).
Dividends
| Ex-date | Amount | Paid |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | $0.21 | Sep 24, 2026 |
| Jun 8, 2026 | $0.21 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | $0.21 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Dec 15, 2025 | $0.21 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | $0.21 | Sep 23, 2025 |
| Jun 9, 2025 | $0.21 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Mar 10, 2025 | $0.21 | Mar 21, 2025 |
| Dec 13, 2024 | $0.21 | Dec 27, 2024 |
Short interest
- Shares sold short
- 3,642,703
- Days to cover
- 3.13
- Change vs previous report
- -6.6%
FINRA short interest, settlement date Sep 15, 2026.
Stock splits
- Oct 12, 2018
- 3-for-2
- Oct 2, 2013
- 3-for-2
- Jun 1, 2011
- 3-for-2
- May 3, 2010
- 3-for-2
- May 26, 2006
- 3-for-2